UK: 250 scenarios of GDP growth and climate effect

UK faces 88% risk of economic collapse from Climate Change this century

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An unprecedented 4% growth in GDP is the UK’s only hope for survival – but at what cost of decarbonisation? In our new modelling, we examine a full range of decarbonisation costs from $0-100 per tonne CO2. It shows the calamitous effect upon the UK of high decarbonisation costs and a failure to increase GDP […]

UK faces 88% risk of economic collapse from Climate Change this century was last modified: November 9th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies
For global GDP to survive requires both China and the United States to balance growth ambitions with the destructive effects of climate change.

New study shows multiple, ruinous impacts of Climate Change on global GDP, country by country – some within a generation

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By 2100, two thirds of all US GDP growth scenarios are predicted to have collapsed or be in the process of collapse. For China, all scenarios grow. On 8th October 2018, Professors William Nordhaus and Paul Romer were awarded the Nobel Prize for their work on economic growth and climate change. The UN IPCC’s landmark […]

New study shows multiple, ruinous impacts of Climate Change on global GDP, country by country – some within a generation was last modified: November 4th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

The Thames Barrier has saved London – but is it time for TB2?

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Its increasing deployment trend compares well with that of PAL’s correlation of extreme weather-related disasters and global warming – another evidence-based validation of PAL’s algorithm-based predictability. The Thames Barrier has saved London – but is it time for TB2? was last modified: June 29th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

The Thames Barrier has saved London – but is it time for TB2? was last modified: June 29th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies
economic growth and climate change - real GDP tipping point plotted against time.

Our on-going ‘business-as-usual’ CO2 emissions will collapse the global economy by mid century – we must reduce them much faster or we’ll become ‘boiled frogs’

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Boiled frog syndrome is when you think nothing much is wrong until suddenly you realise it’s too late and you have run out of time to prevent catastrophe. The boiled frog fable imagines that a frog dropped into boiling water will jump out immediately. However, if the frog is immersed in tepid water that is then slowly heated, the frog gets […]

Our on-going ‘business-as-usual’ CO2 emissions will collapse the global economy by mid century – we must reduce them much faster or we’ll become ‘boiled frogs’ was last modified: October 22nd, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

The ever-increasing deployment of London’s River Thames Barrier is stark testimony that climate change is now a grim reality

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The twin threats to London of fluvial flooding and storm surges are no longer exceptional. The ever-increasing deployment of London’s River Thames Barrier is stark testimony that climate change is now a grim reality was last modified: June 29th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

The ever-increasing deployment of London’s River Thames Barrier is stark testimony that climate change is now a grim reality was last modified: June 29th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

How does PAL scientifically place a dollar cash valuation of over $6billion on New York City’s claim against the five Big Oil?

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PAL’s methodology is a classic research narrative that reveals the tip of a $1.8 trillion iceberg of potential claims from cities across the globe. In brief, PAL’s step-by-step research narrative goes like this: historically GDP has driven emissions, emissions drive temperature increases, increased temperatures drive more extreme weather, which in turn increases insured and uninsured […]

How does PAL scientifically place a dollar cash valuation of over $6billion on New York City’s claim against the five Big Oil? was last modified: August 19th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies
Potential claims liability against 5 big oil for cities with climate risk

$1.8trillion in compensation claims against 5 Big Oil is potentially at stake – twice their combined market capitalization – if all major cities with climate risk follow New York City’s lead

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New York City’s claim is paving the way to an enormous black hole in the share value of 5 Big Oil (and other oil companies too). The staggering sums scoping the size of their potential liability from climate-related claims is a warning to asset managers and pension fund administrators. The 5 Big Oil companies should […]

$1.8trillion in compensation claims against 5 Big Oil is potentially at stake – twice their combined market capitalization – if all major cities with climate risk follow New York City’s lead was last modified: November 4th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies
Pie chart showing the relative sizes of hits, near hits and misses for predicted disasters impacting certain vulnerable cities

PAL’s technology for predicting the ‘where and when’ of extreme weather-related disasters is on target for near 90% accuracy

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In 2015 a report “Small City, Regional and Global Predictions for 2015, 2016 and 2017” was sealed and lodged by Predict Ability (PAL) in the safe of a legal firm. The report was generated programmatically, using PAL’s proprietary prediction technology: this machine-generated report was designed to identify qualifying ‘disaster events’ predicted to occur within specified […]

PAL’s technology for predicting the ‘where and when’ of extreme weather-related disasters is on target for near 90% accuracy was last modified: October 22nd, 2018 by Bruce Menzies
ew York City climate-related losses attributable to CO2 emissions from the 5 Big Oil companies’ gas and oil products, is down from its 1973 ‘oil crisis’ peak.

New York City’s claim on 5 Big Oil: the dates that make the difference to the dollars

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An estimated $19billion will be needed to fund the infrastructure to protect New York City from storm surges such as 2012’s Super Storm Sandy, that are bound to come again and come more frequently. Mayor de Blasio’s primary claim against 5 Big Oil (BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips and Royal Dutch Shell) implies – correctly – […]

New York City’s claim on 5 Big Oil: the dates that make the difference to the dollars was last modified: October 22nd, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

A new carbon pricing methodology closely fits a major US study

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An algorithm-based calculation of the economic damage from climate change compares well with a study led by Prof. Solomon Hsiang of the University of California at Berkeley. A new carbon pricing methodology closely fits a major US study was last modified: August 19th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies

A new carbon pricing methodology closely fits a major US study was last modified: August 19th, 2018 by Bruce Menzies